In this preamble, we load the gstlearn library and clean the workspace.
rm(list=ls())
library(gstlearn)
library(ggplot2)
library(ggpubr)
library(ggnewscale)
Then the necessary data set is downloaded and named dat: the target variable is January_temp
fileNF = loadData("Scotland", "Scotland_Temperatures.NF")
dat = Db_createFromNF(fileNF)
Variogram Cloud
The data is modeled as samples of a regionalized variable \(z\), i.e. as evaluations at locations \(x_1,..,x_n\) of a variable \(z\) defined across a spatial domain: \[\lbrace z_i = z(x_i) : i = 1, ..., n\rbrace.\]
The variogram cloud is the set of pair of points defined as \[ \big\lbrace \big( \Vert x_i - x_j\Vert, \big\vert z(x_i)-z(x_j)\big\vert^2 \big) \quad\text{where}\quad 1\le i\le j\le n \big\rbrace \]
In gstlearn, variogram clouds are computed as grids.
varioParamOmni = VarioParam_createOmniDirection(npas = 100)
grid.cloud = db_vcloud(dat, varioParamOmni)
grid.cloud$display()
##
## Data Base Grid Characteristics
## ==============================
##
## Data Base Summary
## -----------------
## File is organized as a regular grid
## Space dimension = 2
## Number of Columns = 4
## Total number of samples = 10000
##
## Grid characteristics:
## ---------------------
## Origin : 0.000 0.000
## Mesh : 7.789 0.031
## Number : 100 100
##
## Variables
## ---------
## Column = 0 - Name = rank - Locator = NA
## Column = 1 - Name = x1 - Locator = x1
## Column = 2 - Name = x2 - Locator = x2
## Column = 3 - Name = Cloud.January_temp - Locator = NA
## NULL
p = ggplot()
p = p + plot.grid(grid.cloud, "Cloud.January*")
p = p + plot.geometry(asp=0)
ggPrint(p)
Experimental Variogram
The experimental (isotropic) variogram \(\gamma\) is a function defined as
\[\gamma(h)=\frac{1}{2\vert N(h)\vert}\sum_{(i,j) \in N(h)}\big\vert z(x_i)-z(x_j)\big\vert^2, \quad h\ge 0,\]
where \(N(h)\) is set of all pairs of data points separated by a distance \(h\) (called lag): \[ N(h) = \bigg\lbrace (i,j) : \Vert x_j-x_i\Vert = h\bigg\rbrace_{1\le i\le j\le n},\]
and \(\vert N(h)\vert\) is the cardinal of \(N(h)\). In practice, when computing \(\gamma(h)\), we look for pairs of data points separated by a distance \(h \pm \tau h\) where \(\tau > 0\) is a tolerance on the separation distance \(h\). In other words, \(N(h)\) is replaced by \[ \widehat N(h) = \bigg\lbrace (i,j) : (1-\tau)h \le \Vert x_j-x_i\Vert \le (1+\tau) h\bigg\rbrace_{1\le i\le j\le n}\]
To compute an experimental variogram, we start by creating a
VarioParam
object containing the parameters of the
variogram. This is done using the function
VarioParam_createOmniDirection
. We can specify the number
of lags \(h\) for which the
experimental variogram is computed (argument npas
), and the
distance between these lags (argument dpas
), as well as the
tolerance \(\tau\) on the lags
(argument toldis
).
Then, the experimental variogram is computed in two steps. First, a
Vario
object is initialized from the
VarioParam
object and the Db
containing the
data points. Then, the values of the experimental variogram at the lags
specified by the VarioParam
object are computed using the
method compute
of the Vario
object (which
returns an error code, 0
meaning that no error was
detected).
Note : The variable \(z\) for which
we wish to define the experimental variogram should be the only variable
in the Db
with a z
locator (i.e. it should
have locator z1
and the other variables should not have a
locator starting with z
). This can be done bu using the
method setLocator
of the Db
object containing
the data. If several variables with z
locators are present
in the Db
, then cross-variograms between are also computed
(this subject will be covered in the course on multivariate
analysis).
In the next example, we compute an experimental variogram with \(40\) lags separated by a distance \(10\) (meaning that we take \(h =10i\) for \(i=0, ..., 39\)), and consider a tolerance
\(\tau = 10\%\) for the variogram
computations. We use the Db
dat
, and select
the variable January_temp
as our variable of interest (by
setting its locator to “z”).
varioParamOmni = VarioParam_createOmniDirection(npas=40, dpas=10,toldis = 0.1)
dat$setLocator("January_temp",ELoc_Z())
varioexp = Vario(varioParamOmni)
err = varioexp$compute(dat)
We now print the contents of the newly created experimental
variogram. The \(40\) experimental
variogram values are displayed (Column Value
), together
with the number \(\vert \widehat
N(h)\vert\) of pairs used to compute the value (Column
Npairs
) and the average distance between the points forming
these pairs (Column Distance
).
varioexp
##
## Variogram characteristics
## =========================
## Number of variable(s) = 1
## Number of direction(s) = 1
## Space dimension = 2
## Variable(s) = [January_temp]
##
## Variance-Covariance Matrix 1.020
##
## Direction #1
## ------------
## Number of lags = 40
## Direction coefficients = 1.000 0.000
## Direction angles (degrees) = 0.000
## Tolerance on direction = 90.000 (degrees)
## Calculation lag = 10.000
## Tolerance on distance = 10.000 (Percent of the lag value)
##
## For variable 1
## Rank Npairs Distance Value
## 0 2.000 0.141 0.002
## 1 12.000 9.973 0.129
## 2 31.000 20.131 0.270
## 3 48.000 30.003 0.470
## 4 61.000 40.019 0.599
## 5 72.000 50.011 0.582
## 6 82.000 59.995 0.586
## 7 77.000 69.926 0.907
## 8 92.000 80.027 0.899
## 9 96.000 89.985 0.980
## 10 96.000 100.013 0.856
## 11 96.000 109.991 0.905
## 12 95.000 120.064 1.013
## 13 69.000 129.945 1.247
## 14 101.000 139.943 1.001
## 15 98.000 150.020 0.942
## 16 80.000 159.974 1.022
## 17 81.000 170.051 1.330
## 18 75.000 179.943 1.058
## 19 85.000 189.976 1.185
## 20 78.000 200.100 0.957
## 21 73.000 210.005 1.117
## 22 68.000 220.027 1.685
## 23 78.000 230.014 1.405
## 24 49.000 239.927 1.406
## 25 48.000 250.034 1.248
## 26 34.000 260.056 1.364
## 27 39.000 269.806 1.728
## 28 28.000 279.716 1.308
## 29 40.000 289.998 1.223
## 30 29.000 299.826 0.981
## 31 19.000 310.007 1.461
## 32 18.000 319.904 1.154
## 33 13.000 330.008 1.329
## 34 12.000 340.078 1.396
## 35 19.000 349.855 1.428
## 36 11.000 359.903 1.128
## 37 13.000 370.069 0.959
## 38 9.000 379.623 0.629
## 39 7.000 389.619 0.731
We now plot the experimental variogram. In the resulting figure, the experimental variogram is plotted in blue, and the dashed blacked line corresponds to the value of the variance of the data.
ggplot() + plot.varmod(varioexp)
We can also adapt the size of experimental variogram points in the plot so that it is proportional to the number of pairs of points used to compute the value.
ggplot() + plot.varmod(varioexp,drawPsize=TRUE)
Fitting a variogram model on an experimental variogram is done in two
steps. First, we create Model
object. These objects aim at
containing all the necessary information about the covariance structure
of a random field. In particular, it is assumed that this covariance
structure is a superposition of basic elementary covariance structures:
the Model
objects then contains the covariance types and
parameters of each one of these basic covariance structures.
In our case, we wish to build our Model
object from an
experimental variogram, meaning that we want to find a composition of
basic covariance structures which would result in a variogram “close” to
the experimental variogram that we computed from the data. This is done
by calling the method fit
of the Model
object,
while providing it with the experimental variogram.
In the next example, we create a Model
object, that we
fit on the experimental variogram the we computed earlier. We then plot
both the experimental variogram and the variogram model resulting from
the fitting using the plot.varmod
function. In the figure
we obtain, In the figure above, the dashed blue line corresponds to the
experimental variogram, and the solid blue line corresponds to the
fitted variogram model.
fitmod = Model()
err = fitmod$fit(varioexp)
ggplot() + plot.varmod(varioexp, fitmod)
We now print the content of our newly created model. As we can see, only one basic covariance structure is used to define the model (namely, a Spherical covariance function whose range and sill are printed).
fitmod
##
## Model characteristics
## =====================
## Space dimension = 2
## Number of variable(s) = 1
## Number of basic structure(s) = 1
## Number of drift function(s) = 0
## Number of drift equation(s) = 0
##
## Covariance Part
## ---------------
## Spherical
## - Sill = 1.123
## - Range = 129.766
## Total Sill = 1.123
## Known Mean(s) 0.000
It is also possible to guide the model fitting by proposing a list of basic covariance structures from which the model is to be built. The list of available basic covariance structures is obtained by running the following command:
ECov_printAll()
## -2 - UNKNOWN : Unknown covariance
## -1 - FUNCTION : External covariance function
## 0 - NUGGET : Nugget effect
## 1 - EXPONENTIAL : Exponential
## 2 - SPHERICAL : Spherical
## 3 - GAUSSIAN : Gaussian
## 4 - CUBIC : Cubic
## 5 - SINCARD : Sine Cardinal
## 6 - BESSELJ : Bessel J
## 7 - MATERN : Matern
## 8 - GAMMA : Gamma
## 9 - CAUCHY : Cauchy
## 10 - STABLE : Stable
## 11 - LINEAR : Linear
## 12 - POWER : Power
## 13 - ORDER1_GC : First Order Generalized covariance
## 14 - SPLINE_GC : Spline Generalized covariance
## 15 - ORDER3_GC : Third Order Generalized covariance
## 16 - ORDER5_GC : Fifth Order Generalized covariance
## 17 - COSINUS : Cosine
## 18 - TRIANGLE : Triangle
## 19 - COSEXP : Cosine Exponential
## 20 - REG1D : 1-D Regular
## 21 - PENTA : Pentamodel
## 22 - SPLINE2_GC : Order-2 Spline
## 23 - STORKEY : Storkey covariance in 1-D
## 24 - WENDLAND0 : Wendland covariance (2,0)
## 25 - WENDLAND1 : Wendland covariance (3,1)
## 26 - WENDLAND2 : Wendland covariance (4,2)
## 27 - MARKOV : Markovian covariances
## 28 - GEOMETRIC : Geometric (Sphere only)
## 29 - POISSON : Poisson (Sphere only)
## 30 - LINEARSPH : Linear (Sphere only)
## NULL
In practice, we start by creating a list of basic structures using
the ECov_fromKeys
function which we supply with a vector
containing the names of the basic structures we would like to see in the
model. To fit the model, we then once again call the fit
method and supply it with both the experimental variogram and the newly
created list of basic structures (argument types
). Then the
fitting procedures tries find the composition of models from the
supplied list that best fits the experimental variogram.
Note that by default, the fitting algorithm tries to be parsimonious
and can therefore “drop” some of the structures that we supply if it
deems that a model with less structures provides a better fit. To force
the fitting algorithm to keep all the structures from the list, we
simply need to add the argument
optvar=Option_VarioFit(TRUE)
to the fit
method.
In the next example, we once again define a model by fitting it on our experimental variogram. But this time, we specify that we want the resulting model to be a composition of basic structures restricted to these choices: a Nugget effect, a Cubic covariance and a Spherical covariance.
types = ECov_fromKeys(c("NUGGET","CUBIC","SPHERICAL"))
err = fitmod$fit(varioexp, types=types)
ggplot() + plot.varmod(varioexp, fitmod)
When printing the contents of the model, we now notice that it consists of a superposition of a Cubic covariance and a Spherical covariance, as intended. Note that the Nugget effect does not appear (it has been dropped by the fitting algorithm).
fitmod
##
## Model characteristics
## =====================
## Space dimension = 2
## Number of variable(s) = 1
## Number of basic structure(s) = 2
## Number of drift function(s) = 0
## Number of drift equation(s) = 0
##
## Covariance Part
## ---------------
## Cubic
## - Sill = 0.371
## - Range = 58.088
## Spherical
## - Sill = 0.904
## - Range = 237.071
## Total Sill = 1.275
## Known Mean(s) 0.000
It is possible to impose (in)equality constraints on the covariance
parameters of the basic structures used in the model fitting procedure.
This is done by creating a Constraints
object that is used
to specify the constraints we wish to impose on the parameters of the
different basic structures composing the model. To add a constraint to
the object, we can use the method addItemFromParamId
, which
takes as arguments the type of parameter for which the constraint
applies (given as an EConsElem
object: run
EConsElem_printAll()
for the list of available options),
the index of the basic structure for which the constraint applies
(argument icov
), the type of constraint we wish to apply
(argument type
, given as an EConsType
object:
run EConsType_printAll()
for the list of available options)
and finally the numerical value (argument value
) defining
the constraint.
In the next example, we start from a list of three basic structures
(a Nugget effect, a Cubic covariance and a Spherical covariance), and
create a Constraints
object containing two constraints. The
first one applies to the basic structure of index \(1\) (the cubic structure), and sets an
upper-bound of \(20\) for its range.
The second one also applies to the basic structure of index \(1\) (the cubic structure), and sets an
lower-bound of \(0.03\) for its sill.
Finally, the fit
method is called to fit the model on the
experimental variogram. Note that we also added the option
optvar=Option_VarioFit(TRUE)
to force the fitting algorithm
to keep the three basic structures that we supplied.
types = ECov_fromKeys(c("NUGGET","CUBIC","SPHERICAL"))
constraints = Constraints()
err = constraints$addItemFromParamId(EConsElem_RANGE(),icov=1,type=EConsType_UPPER(),value=20.)
err = constraints$addItemFromParamId(EConsElem_SILL(),icov=1,type=EConsType_LOWER(),value=0.03)
err = fitmod$fit(varioexp, types=types, constraints=constraints, optvar=Option_VarioFit(TRUE))
ggplot() + plot.varmod(varioexp, fitmod)